My Account Log Out

reorder

Stefon Diggs

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 63.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 60.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (63.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Buffalo Bills.

This week, Stefon Diggs is projected by the projection model to finish in the 97th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 10.2 targets.

With an exceptional 29.9% Target Share (95th percentile) this year, Stefon Diggs stands as one of the wideouts with the highest volume in the NFL.

When talking about air yards, Stefon Diggs ranks in the towering 94th percentile among wide receivers this year, averaging a monstrous 105.0 per game.

The Bills offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Bills, who are favored by 3 points.

To the extent of a defense's influence on pace, at 28.47 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills as the 6th-most sluggish in the league (in a neutral context) right now.

Stefon Diggs has accumulated significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (72.0) this year than he did last year (90.0).

Stefon Diggs's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 72.7% to 65.9%.

Stefon Diggs's pass-catching efficiency has declined this year, averaging just 7.60 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.62 rate last year.

More Stefon Diggs Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™