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Stefon Diggs

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers vs Buffalo Bills

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 68.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 68.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Buffalo Bills are projected by the projection model to run 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most among all teams this week.

The Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.9 per game) this year.

The model projects Stefon Diggs to notch 9.9 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.

With a remarkable 29.8% Target Rate (97th percentile) this year, Stefon Diggs ranks as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the league.

When talking about air yards, Stefon Diggs grades out in the lofty 93rd percentile among wide receivers this year, totaling an astounding 104.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are overwhelmingly favored by 12.5 points.

The projections expect the Buffalo Bills as the 7th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Stefon Diggs's 78.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year conveys a remarkable reduction in his receiving talent over last year's 90.0 figure.

Stefon Diggs's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 72.7% to 67.1%.

Stefon Diggs's 8.1 adjusted yards per target this season represents a noteworthy diminishment in his receiving ability over last season's 9.6 mark.

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