Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Stefon Diggs

NFL · Player Props

Stefon Diggs

WR · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-150/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football (67.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Buffalo Bills.
The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.3 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Stefon Diggs to garner 10.5 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among wideouts.
With a sizeable 29.8% Target Share (95th percentile) this year, Stefon Diggs ranks as one of the WRs with the highest volume in the NFL.
When talking about air yards, Stefon Diggs grades out in the towering 93rd percentile among wide receivers this year, averaging a colossal 104.0 per game.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game against the Cowboys defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.
Stefon Diggs's 66.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season represents an impressive reduction in his pass-catching skills over last season's 72.7% figure.
Stefon Diggs's 8.0 adjusted yards per target this year represents a significant diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last year's 9.6 mark.
The Cowboys defense has conceded the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 127.0) versus wideouts this year.
The Cowboys pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (58.1%) versus wideouts this year (58.1%).

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