Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Stefon Diggs

NFL · Player Props

Stefon Diggs

WR · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 9:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 81.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 75.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 81.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 61.3% of their plays: the 8th-highest clip among all teams this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 41.9 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: most in football.
The predictive model expects Stefon Diggs to total 10.8 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among wideouts.
With an extraordinary 30.3% Target% (96th percentile) this year, Stefon Diggs ranks among the wide receivers with the most usage in the league.
Stefon Diggs has notched a staggering 103.0 air yards per game this year: 93rd percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

In terms of a defense's influence on pace, at 29.17 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Bills to be the most sluggish in football (context-neutralized) at the present time.
Stefon Diggs's pass-catching effectiveness has declined this year, totaling just 8.62 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.62 figure last year.
This year, the strong Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wide receivers: a feeble 2.9 YAC.

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