Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

My Account Log Out

reorder

Stefon Diggs

NFL · Player Props

Stefon Diggs

WR · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Buffalo Bills · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 24, 2022 9:01 PM EST

Analysis

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (+102/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buffalo Bills boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 70.7% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects Stefon Diggs to garner 8.6 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile among wideouts.
Stefon Diggs has been a key part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 28.8% this year, which ranks him in the 95th percentile among WRs.
Stefon Diggs has posted many more air yards this season (113.0 per game) than he did last season (108.0 per game).

Favors Under

The Bills are a heavy 8.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Bills to call the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 23-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the NFL.
The Buffalo Bills offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

More Stefon Diggs Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow