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Stefon Diggs
NFL · Player Props
Stefon Diggs
WR · Buffalo Bills
Receiving Yards
Chicago Bears vs Buffalo Bills · Week 16, 2022 Updated Dec 24, 2022 9:01 PM EST
NFL Props Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (+102/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ +102.

Favors Over
  • The Buffalo Bills boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 70.7% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects Stefon Diggs to garner 8.6 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile among wideouts.
  • Stefon Diggs has been a key part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 28.8% this year, which ranks him in the 95th percentile among WRs.
  • Stefon Diggs has posted many more air yards this season (113.0 per game) than he did last season (108.0 per game).
Favors Under
  • The Bills are a heavy 8.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bills to call the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 23-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the NFL.
  • The Buffalo Bills offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
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