My Account Log Out

reorder

Stefon Diggs

Stefon Diggs Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

Stefon Diggs Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in football.

Stefon Diggs has been a big part of his team's offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 31.4% this year, which puts him in the 95th percentile among WRs.

Stefon Diggs's 64.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 90th percentile for wide receivers.

Stefon Diggs's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% increasing from 66.9% to 78.6%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Stefon Diggs has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (108.0 per game) than he did last season (115.0 per game).

The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers rank as the 9th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

The Kansas City Chiefs pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the best in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Buffalo Bills have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

More Stefon Diggs Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™