My Account Log Out

reorder

Stefon Diggs

Stefon Diggs Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills

Stefon Diggs Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-119/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -119.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Stefon Diggs has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 27.9% this year, which ranks him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.

Stefon Diggs has accrued a monstrous 118.0 air yards per game this year: 98th percentile among WRs.

Stefon Diggs's 70.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the league leaders: 95th percentile for wide receivers.

Stefon Diggs's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% rising from 66.9% to 75.7%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a massive 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-slowest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 29.23 seconds per snap.

The Buffalo Bills have faced a stacked the box on a mere 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

More Stefon Diggs Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™