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Stefon Diggs
NFL · Player Props
Stefon Diggs
WR · Buffalo Bills
Receiving TD
Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 10, 2022 Updated Nov 13, 2022 8:46 PM UTC
NFL Props Stefon Diggs Receiving TD

Stefon Diggs Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+113/-151).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +113.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Stefon Diggs has been an integral part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 28.3% this year, which ranks in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
  • Stefon Diggs has accrued far more air yards this season (122.0 per game) than he did last season (115.0 per game).
  • Stefon Diggs's 69.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 95th percentile for WRs.
  • Stefon Diggs's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% jumping from 66.9% to 75.5%.
Favors Under
  • The Bills are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • The Buffalo Bills have faced a stacked the box on just 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
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