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Sony Michel

Sony Michel Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Sony Michel Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chargers are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 65.4 plays per game.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defensive tackles project as the worst unit in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 10th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 37.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Sony Michel to be much less involved in his offense's running game this week (13.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (53.0% in games he has played).
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defense owns the 8th-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, surrendering just 4.25 yards-per-carry.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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