My Account Log Out
 
 
Sony Michel

Sony Michel Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Sony Michel Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+322/-595).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -569 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -595.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chargers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have rushed for the 4th-most TDs in the NFL (1.33 per game) vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defensive ends grade out as the 6th-worst DE corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 4th-least run-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 37.5% red zone run rate.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for rushers.
  • Sony Michel has run for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest figures in football among running backs (1st percentile).
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have faced a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box vs. opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™