My Account Log Out

reorder

Sony Michel

Sony Michel Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

Sony Michel Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+423/-942).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +440 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +423.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chargers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 65.4 plays per game.

The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.

Opposing squads have rushed for the 8th-most touchdowns in the league (1.06 per game) vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 4th-least run-centric offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 38.7% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects Sony Michel to be a much smaller part of his offense's running game near the end zone this week (12.6% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (57.4% in games he has played).

The Los Angeles Chargers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

More Sony Michel Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™