Skyy Moore Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Skyy Moore

NFL · Player Props

Skyy Moore

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receptions

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Skyy Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-127/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 64.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chiefs are expected by the projection model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 9th-most among all teams this week.
Skyy Moore's 20.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 13.0.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (73.4%) versus wideouts this year (73.4%).

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Bills defense this year: 9th-fewest in the NFL.
Skyy Moore's 61.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year signifies a significant diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year's 67.7% figure.
As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Buffalo's CB corps has been excellent this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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