Skyy Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Skyy Moore

NFL · Player Props

Skyy Moore

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 12:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Skyy Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to pass on 68.4% of their opportunities: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Skyy Moore has posted many more air yards this year (36.0 per game) than he did last year (18.0 per game).
Skyy Moore's 22.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 13.0.

Favors Under

Skyy Moore's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 67.7% to 55.0%.
Skyy Moore's pass-game efficiency has tailed off this year, accumulating a mere 6.49 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.67 mark last year.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.69 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-fewest in the league.
The Miami Dolphins safeties project as the best safety corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

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