Skyy Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Skyy Moore

NFL · Player Props

Skyy Moore

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Skyy Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-117/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 61.9% of their chances: the 3rd-highest clip among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 133.2 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
Skyy Moore has totaled significantly more air yards this season (32.0 per game) than he did last season (18.0 per game).
Skyy Moore's 22.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 13.0.

Favors Under

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.
Skyy Moore's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 67.7% to 56.4%.
Skyy Moore's 7.1 adjusted yards per target this year represents a a significant regression in his receiving talent over last year's 8.7 mark.

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