Skyy Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Skyy Moore

NFL · Player Props

Skyy Moore

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 2, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Skyy Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Chiefs as the 8th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Skyy Moore has gone out for fewer passes this season (64.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (24.5%).
The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a big 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The predictive model expects the Chiefs to run the 11th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Skyy Moore's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 67.7% to 54.9%.
Skyy Moore has been among the weakest wideouts in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.21 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 19th percentile.
The New York Jets defense has given up the fewest receiving yards per game in the league (just 111.0) versus wideouts since the start of last season.

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