Skyy Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Skyy Moore

NFL · Player Props

Skyy Moore

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Chicago Bears · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

Skyy Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 10th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs offense as the 8th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.04 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Skyy Moore to be much more involved in his team's pass game this week (12.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (6.0% in games he has played).
The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has shown bad efficiency against WRs since the start of last season, surrendering 9.92 yards-per-target to the position: the most in football.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a huge 12.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.7 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the league.
Skyy Moore has been among the weakest wideouts in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 0.04 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 19th percentile.

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