Skyy Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Skyy Moore

NFL · Player Props

Skyy Moore

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Skyy Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 64.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chiefs are expected by the projection model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 9th-most among all teams this week.
Skyy Moore has notched quite a few more air yards this year (27.0 per game) than he did last year (18.0 per game).
Skyy Moore's 20.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 13.0.
Skyy Moore's talent in grinding out extra yardage have gotten a boost this year, notching 3.67 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to just 0.00 rate last year.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Bills defense this year: 9th-fewest in the NFL.
Skyy Moore's 61.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year signifies a significant diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year's 67.7% figure.
Skyy Moore's pass-game efficiency has tailed off this year, accumulating a measly 7.42 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.67 figure last year.
This year, the fierce Bills pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wide receivers: a puny 3.1 YAC.
As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Buffalo's CB corps has been excellent this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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