Skyy Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Skyy Moore

NFL · Player Props

Skyy Moore

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Skyy Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Skyy Moore has accrued many more air yards this year (28.0 per game) than he did last year (18.0 per game).
Skyy Moore's 20.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 13.0.
Skyy Moore's talent in generating extra yardage have gotten better this season, compiling 3.85 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 0.00 rate last season.
This year, the anemic Green Bay Packers pass defense has conceded a colossal 68.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 8th-worst rate in football.

Favors Under

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 5.5 points.
At the present time, the 10th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Chiefs.
Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Packers, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 34.4 per game) this year.
Skyy Moore's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 67.7% to 61.6%.
The Packers cornerbacks project as the 9th-best group of CBs in football this year in defending receivers.

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