Skyy Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Skyy Moore

NFL · Player Props

Skyy Moore

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Skyy Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-113/-113).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Skyy Moore has put up quite a few more air yards this year (31.0 per game) than he did last year (18.0 per game).
With a RATE1-RATE2 point rise in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) from last season to this one, Skyy Moore has been more heavily incorporated in his team's passing offense.
Skyy Moore's ability to grind out extra yardage has gotten a boost this year, compiling 2.53 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 0.00 rate last year.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a huge 9.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
Skyy Moore's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 67.7% to 57.8%.
Skyy Moore's receiving efficiency has worsened this year, averaging a measly 7.04 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.67 rate last year.

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