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Skyy Moore

Skyy Moore Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 13

Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Skyy Moore Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+303/-540).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -487 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -540.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 60.7 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.60 seconds before getting pressured (best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.58 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 2nd-slowest in football since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals defense has given up the 3rd-least passing touchdowns in the league to WRs: 0.55 per game this year.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers project as the 5th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have faced a stacked the box on a measly 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have gone no-huddle on a measly 1.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the league). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have elected to go for it on 4th down a lowly 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

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