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Skylar Thompson

Skylar Thompson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings

Skylar Thompson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Miami Dolphins boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Mike McDaniel, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

The Miami Dolphins have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 12.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Miami Dolphins have gone no-huddle on 13.9% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-most in football). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

The Miami Dolphins have utilized some form of misdirection on 56.0% of their play-calls since the start of last season (5th-most in football), which can make an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Dolphins will be rolling with backup quarterback Skylar Thompson in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Dolphins are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.95 seconds per play.

The Minnesota Vikings defense owns the 9th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, allowing just 4.29 yards-per-carry.

The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles project as the best group of DTs in football this year in regard to run defense.

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