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Skylar Thompson

Skylar Thompson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Skylar Thompson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 207.5 (+110/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 212.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 207.5 @ -142.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Miami Dolphins will be rolling with backup quarterback Skylar Thompson in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Dolphins are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-highest clip in the league against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year (75.6%).
  • The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has displayed poor efficiency this year, yielding 8.39 yards-per-target: the 8th-most in the NFL.
  • The Minnesota Vikings defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 7.99 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Miami Dolphins boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Mike McDaniel, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.95 seconds per play.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 10th-least in football.
  • The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • The Miami Dolphins offensive line has afforded their quarterback a measly 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

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