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Skylar Thompson
NFL · Player Props
Skylar Thompson
QB · Miami Dolphins
Pass Attempts
Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins · Week 19, 2022 Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC
NFL Props Skylar Thompson Pass Attempts

Skylar Thompson Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ +100.

Favors Over
  • The Miami Dolphins will be forced to use backup quarterback Skylar Thompson in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Dolphins are a giant 13.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 64.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 128.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Favors Under
  • The Miami Dolphins will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Mike McDaniel, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.7% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • The Miami Dolphins have run the least plays in football this year, averaging a measly 54.1 plays per game.
  • The Miami Dolphins have risked going for it on 4th down just 15.6% of the time since the start of last season (least in the league), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.
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