Skylar Thompson Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Skylar Thompson

QB · Miami Dolphins

Completions

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Skylar Thompson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-108/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Dolphins will be rolling with backup quarterback Skylar Thompson in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Dolphins are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-highest clip in the league against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year (75.6%).
The Minnesota Vikings safeties profile as the 8th-worst collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.
The Minnesota Vikings defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.56 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-slowest in the league since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Miami Dolphins boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Mike McDaniel, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.95 seconds per play.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 10th-least in football.
The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
The Miami Dolphins offensive line has afforded their quarterback a measly 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.