Simi Fehoko Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Simi Fehoko

NFL · Player Props

Simi Fehoko

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving TD

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 8:36 PM EST

Analysis

Simi Fehoko Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1200/-5000).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Cowboys have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 66.4 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.4 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Simi Fehoko to be a much bigger part of his team's pass attack near the end zone this week (7.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (0.0% in games he has played).
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line ranks as the best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Cincinnati Bengals defense has allowed the 9th-least passing TDs in football to wideouts: 0.83 per game since the start of last season.
The Cincinnati Bengals cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-best group of CBs in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Dallas Cowboys have used play action on a mere 23.6% of their passing plays since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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