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Shi Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+102/-139).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -139.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Carolina Panthers will be forced to utilize backup quarterback P.J. Walker in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).The Panthers are a massive 10-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script.THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 64.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense as the 2nd-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.28 seconds per play.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Opposing offenses have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-least in the league.Shi Smith has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football, completing just 53.3% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 12th percentile among wide receiversShi Smith has been among the least efficient receivers in the NFL, averaging a mere 6.94 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 21st percentile among wide receiversThe Carolina Panthers offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.The Los Angeles Rams defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.
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