My Account Log Out

reorder

Shi Smith

Shi Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

Shi Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-100/-140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 127.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints defense has surrendered the 10th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (152.0) to wideouts since the start of last season.

The New Orleans Saints pass defense has not been good when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.30 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-most in football.

The New Orleans Saints pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-most sluggish in football since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

Shi Smith has been among the weakest WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 14.0 yards per game while ranking in the 19th percentile among wide receivers.

The New Orleans Saints linebackers profile as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

The Carolina Panthers offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

More Shi Smith Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™