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Scotty Miller

Scotty Miller Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Scotty Miller Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Steelers being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Right now, the 9th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Steelers.

The Ravens defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.9 per game) this year.

With an outstanding 6.81 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (92nd percentile) since the start of last season, Scott Miller rates among the leading WRs in the game in the NFL in the open field.

The Baltimore Ravens defense has been gouged for the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (175.0) vs. wideouts this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 10th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

With a high 17.8% Route Participation Rate (11th percentile) this year, Scott Miller places as one of the WRs with the most usage in the NFL.

As it relates to air yards, Scott Miller ranks in the lowly 23rd percentile among wideouts this year, with just 10.0 per game.

This year, the tough Baltimore Ravens pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a mere 3.5 YAC.

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