Scotty Miller Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Scotty Miller

NFL · Player Props

Scotty Miller

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 5:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Scotty Miller Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 2nd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 67.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 63.1 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Scott Miller has been less involved as a potential target this year (42.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (27.8%).

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 10th-least in football.
Scott Miller has been among the most hard-handed receivers in football, completing just 57.9% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 14th percentile among WRs
Scott Miller has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging just 4.95 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 3rd percentile among wide receivers
Scott Miller has been among the weakest wide receivers in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 1.32 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 9th percentile.
The Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 124.0) vs. wideouts this year.

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