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Scotty Miller

Scotty Miller Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Scotty Miller Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+439/-1007).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 63.1 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Scott Miller has accumulated many more air yards this season (53.0 per game) than he did last season (14.0 per game).
  • Scott Miller's 28.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 7.4.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 10th-least in football.
  • Scott Miller has been among the most hard-handed receivers in football, completing just 57.9% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 14th percentile among WRs
  • Scott Miller grades out in the 1st percentile among WRs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.
  • The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (63.1%) to wide receivers this year (63.1%).
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded the 8th-least TDs through the air in football to WRs: 0.67 per game this year.

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