Scotty Miller Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Scotty Miller

NFL · Player Props

Scotty Miller

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving TD

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 5:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Scotty Miller Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+439/-1007).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 63.1 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Scott Miller has accumulated many more air yards this season (53.0 per game) than he did last season (14.0 per game).
Scott Miller's 28.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 7.4.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 10th-least in football.
Scott Miller has been among the most hard-handed receivers in football, completing just 57.9% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 14th percentile among WRs
Scott Miller grades out in the 1st percentile among WRs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (63.1%) to wide receivers this year (63.1%).
The Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded the 8th-least TDs through the air in football to WRs: 0.67 per game this year.

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