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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 116.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 116.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 116.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the most run-centric team in the NFL (46.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Philadelphia Eagles.

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game.

In this contest, Saquon Barkley is projected by our trusted projection set to land in the 100th percentile among RBs with 21.1 rush attempts.

Saquon Barkley has been given 64.6% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Saquon Barkley's 122.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year indicates a significant boost in his rushing ability over last year's 67.0 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Eagles are anticipated by the model to call only 67.4 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

The Kansas City Chiefs defense owns the 6th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, conceding just 4.24 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

The Kansas City Chiefs safeties rank as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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