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Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-109/-120).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 69.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 69.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The model projects the Giants as the 4th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 47.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Giants this year (a monstrous 61.4 per game on average).The projections expect Saquon Barkley to earn 20.3 rush attempts this week, on balance, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs.Among all running backs, Saquon Barkley ranks in the 93rd percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 63.7% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.Saquon Barkley has picked up 71.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest marks in the NFL when it comes to running backs (93rd percentile).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The New York Giants will be rolling with backup QB Tyrod Taylor in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.At a -3-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on passing than their normal approach.Based on the game dynamics and traits of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 26.80 seconds per play) will have the 11th-slowest pace out of all the games this week.The New York O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league last year at executing run-blocking assingments.When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, New York's collection of DTs has been terrific this year, ranking as the 9th-best in the NFL.
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