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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New York Giants vs Los Angeles Rams

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (+104/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 65.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 69.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 9th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 45.2% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.4 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The model projects Saquon Barkley to notch 20.3 carries in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Out of all running backs, Saquon Barkley grades out in the 97th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 67.2% of the workload in his offense's ground game.

With a stellar record of 71.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (97th percentile), Saquon Barkley places among the top pure runners in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New York Giants will be starting backup QB Tyrod Taylor in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

A passing game script is implied by the Giants being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.

In regards to blocking for ball-carriers (and the impact it has on all ground game stats), the O-line of the New York Giants ranks as the 7th-worst in football last year.

When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Los Angeles's group of DTs has been great this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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