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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 82.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 82.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 82.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 5th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 46.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New York Giants have called the 9th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.3 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to accrue 19.1 carries in this contest, on average, ranking in the 97th percentile among RBs.
  • Saquon Barkley has rushed for substantially more yards per game (100.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Giants are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to be much less involved in his team's running game this week (62.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (73.7% in games he has played).
  • The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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