Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Rushing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Giants · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 31, 2022 2:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 82.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 82.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 82.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 5th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 46.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 9th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to accrue 19.1 carries in this contest, on average, ranking in the 97th percentile among RBs.
Saquon Barkley has rushed for substantially more yards per game (100.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).

Favors Under

The Giants are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to be much less involved in his team's running game this week (62.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (73.7% in games he has played).
The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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