Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 72.5 (-105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants have been the 7th-most run-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) this year with a 43.0% run rate.
The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to accrue 17.5 carries in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile among running backs.
Saquon Barkley has been a much bigger part of his offense's running game this year (72.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (58.1%).
Saquon Barkley has rushed for quite a few more yards per game (99.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).

Favors Under

The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 9th-least yards in football (just 102 per game) versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.
The Baltimore Ravens defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

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