Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Chicago Bears · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 82.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 82.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 82.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 4th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 46.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 7th-quickest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 27.52 seconds per snap.
The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to garner 20.3 carries this week, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
The New York Giants have utilized motion in their offense on 26.6% of their plays since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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