Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 27, 2022 12:15 AM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 78.5 (+105/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 78.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 78.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to garner 18.0 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
Saquon Barkley has been a more important option in his team's run game this year (72.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (58.1%).
Saquon Barkley has generated 51.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in football among running backs (83rd percentile).
Saquon Barkley's running efficiency has been refined this season, compiling 5.93 yards-per-carry vs just 3.28 mark last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 2nd-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 43.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.7 plays per game.
The New York Giants O-line profiles as the worst in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their plays since the start of last season (least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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