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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 78.5 (+105/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 78.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 78.5 @ -139.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to garner 18.0 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
  • Saquon Barkley has been a more important option in his team's run game this year (72.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (58.1%).
  • Saquon Barkley has generated 51.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in football among running backs (83rd percentile).
  • Saquon Barkley's running efficiency has been refined this season, compiling 5.93 yards-per-carry vs just 3.28 mark last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 2nd-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 43.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The New York Giants have called the least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.7 plays per game.
  • The New York Giants O-line profiles as the worst in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
  • The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their plays since the start of last season (least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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