Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 24, 2022 5:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 72.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 73.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 72.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 7th-most run-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 42.0% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to total 17.8 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
Saquon Barkley has been a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this year (71.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (58.1%).
Saquon Barkley has rushed for substantially more yards per game (79.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).

Favors Under

The Giants are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The New York Giants offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for runners.
The Minnesota Vikings defense boasts the 8th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding just 4.31 yards-per-carry.
The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles profile as the best unit in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

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