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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 72.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 73.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 72.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 7th-most run-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 42.0% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to total 17.8 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
  • Saquon Barkley has been a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this year (71.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (58.1%).
  • Saquon Barkley has rushed for substantially more yards per game (79.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Giants are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The New York Giants offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for runners.
  • The Minnesota Vikings defense boasts the 8th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding just 4.31 yards-per-carry.
  • The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles profile as the best unit in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

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