Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Rushing Yards

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 67.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 65.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 9th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 46.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.50 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to garner 18.0 carries in this contest, on average, ranking in the 94th percentile among running backs.
Saquon Barkley has rushed for quite a few more yards per game (78.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).
Saquon Barkley's running effectiveness has gotten better this season, totaling 4.06 yards-per-carry vs a measly 3.28 figure last season.

Favors Under

The Giants are a heavy 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to be much less involved in his offense's running game this week (60.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (72.3% in games he has played).
The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year in run blocking.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 9th-least yards in the NFL (just 109 per game) against the Washington Commanders defense this year.
The Washington Commanders safeties grade out as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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