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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 67.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 65.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 9th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 46.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.50 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to garner 18.0 carries in this contest, on average, ranking in the 94th percentile among running backs.
  • Saquon Barkley has rushed for quite a few more yards per game (78.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).
  • Saquon Barkley's running effectiveness has gotten better this season, totaling 4.06 yards-per-carry vs a measly 3.28 figure last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Giants are a heavy 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to be much less involved in his offense's running game this week (60.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (72.3% in games he has played).
  • The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year in run blocking.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 9th-least yards in the NFL (just 109 per game) against the Washington Commanders defense this year.
  • The Washington Commanders safeties grade out as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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