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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 72.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 72.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 72.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 47.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.1 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to total 18.9 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
  • Saquon Barkley has rushed for quite a few more yards per game (84.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).
  • Saquon Barkley's rushing efficiency has gotten better this year, totaling 4.11 yards-per-carry vs a mere 3.28 mark last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to be much less involved in his offense's rushing attack this week (62.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (73.0% in games he has played).
  • The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for runners.
  • Opposing teams have run for the 10th-least yards in the league (just 109 per game) versus the Washington Commanders defense this year.
  • The Washington Commanders safeties rank as the 4th-best unit in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

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