Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 72.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 72.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 72.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 47.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.1 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to total 18.9 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
Saquon Barkley has rushed for quite a few more yards per game (84.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).
Saquon Barkley's rushing efficiency has gotten better this year, totaling 4.11 yards-per-carry vs a mere 3.28 mark last year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to be much less involved in his offense's rushing attack this week (62.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (73.0% in games he has played).
The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for runners.
Opposing teams have run for the 10th-least yards in the league (just 109 per game) versus the Washington Commanders defense this year.
The Washington Commanders safeties rank as the 4th-best unit in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

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