My Account Log Out
 
 
Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 8

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+106/-141).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -141.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 5th-most run-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 47.8% red zone run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New York Giants have called the 9th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.3 plays per game.
  • Saquon Barkley has garnered 62.0% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
  • Saquon Barkley has run for 0.57 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest figures in the league among running backs (89th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Giants are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™