Saquon Barkley Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Rushing TD

New York Giants vs Chicago Bears · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 7:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-117/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 8th-most run-centric offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 44.5% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 7th-quickest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 27.52 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to be much more involved in his team's run game near the end zone this week (70.6% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (60.0% in games he has played).
The Chicago Bears linebackers profile as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
The New York Giants have utilized motion in their offense on 26.6% of their plays since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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