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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 14

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+139/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -183 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -190.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 4th-most run-heavy offense in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 50.2% red zone run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New York Giants have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
  • Saquon Barkley has received 57.1% of his team's red zone carries this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among RBs.
  • Saquon Barkley has rushed for 0.67 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest figures in the NFL among RBs (93rd percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Giants are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for runners.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends rank as the best group of DEs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
  • The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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