Saquon Barkley Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Rushing TD

New York Giants vs Detroit Lions · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 5th-most run-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 49.3% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.1 plays per game.
Saquon Barkley has earned 61.8% of his offense's red zone carries this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

The New York Giants offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year at blocking for the run game.
The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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