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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-195/+148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +155 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +148.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

In this contest, Saquon Barkley is predicted by the projections to finish in the 100th percentile among RBs with 3.0 targets.

Saquon Barkley's 85.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this year marks a significant progression in his receiving skills over last year's 72.6% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 51.0% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Eagles are anticipated by the model to call only 67.4 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Chiefs defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.

Saquon Barkley's 18.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 26.4.

The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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