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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 21

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 59.6 plays per game.

In this week's game, Saquon Barkley is anticipated by the predictive model to find himself in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs with 2.8 targets.

Saquon Barkley's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 72.6% to 85.6%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on running than their typical approach.

The projections expect the Eagles as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Commanders, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 25.9 per game) this year.

Saquon Barkley's 19.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 26.4.

Saquon Barkley's 1.9 adjusted catches per game this season indicates a noteworthy regression in his receiving skills over last season's 3.0 rate.

More Saquon Barkley Player Props

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