My Account Log Out
 
 
Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week, Saquon Barkley is forecasted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 78th percentile among running backs with 2.3 targets.
  • Saquon Barkley's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 72.6% to 85.4%.
  • This year, the poor Los Angeles Rams pass defense has allowed a whopping 89.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the worst rate in the league.
  • The Los Angeles Rams linebackers grade out as the 6th-worst LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests a rushing game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Eagles to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 39.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect the Eagles offense to be the 7th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 28.25 seconds per play.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.
  • Saquon Barkley's 18.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 26.4.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™