|
|
Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-210/+155).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -210 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +155.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) usually correlate with better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced run volume.In this week's contest, Saquon Barkley is forecasted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.1 targets.In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.Saquon Barkley's 85.8% Adjusted Completion% this season represents an impressive growth in his pass-catching ability over last season's 72.6% rate.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a running game script.Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 46.8% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.The predictive model expects the Eagles offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 28.99 seconds per snap.Saquon Barkley's 20.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 27.4.As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Pittsburgh's unit has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
