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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Philadelphia Eagles

Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -148.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Eagles are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

The 7th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Eagles this year (a monstrous 60.4 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: most in football.

The predictive model expects Saquon Barkley to accumulate 3.9 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 87th percentile among running backs.

Saquon Barkley checks in as one of the leading pass-game running backs this year, averaging a terrific 2.5 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Eagles as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are predicted by the model to run just 63.4 total plays in this contest: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week.

Saquon Barkley's 19.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 27.4.

This year, the fierce Baltimore Ravens defense has allowed a puny 80.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 9th-best rate in the league.

The Ravens safeties project as the 3rd-best group of safeties in the league this year in regard to rushing the passer.

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