Saquon Barkley Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Receptions

New York Giants vs New York Jets · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 30, 2023 12:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Giants will be rolling with backup QB Tyrod Taylor in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on passing than their normal approach.
The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Giants this year (a monstrous 61.4 per game on average).
This week, Saquon Barkley is expected by the projections to rank in the 96th percentile among running backs with 4.9 targets.
With a remarkable 16.8% Target% (99th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley ranks among the pass-game running backs with the most usage in football.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to be the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Based on the game dynamics and traits of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 26.80 seconds per play) will have the 11th-slowest pace out of all the games this week.
In regards to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the New York Giants ranks as the worst in the league this year.
The New York Jets linebackers profile as the best LB corps in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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